Jews in Israel and the Diaspora follow the peace process closely and a majority of them favour the two-state solution. As Yoram Ettinger explains below, this is due in part to their fear of the alleged Demographic Time Bomb.
Yoram Ettinger explains.
1. Support – among Israeli Jews – for the proposed Palestinian state (“Two States Solution”) is soft and reluctant, according to a March 31-April 1 poll conducted by the Tel Aviv University Center For Peace Research.
2. The establishment of the proposed Palestinian state is supported by 68%, many of whom – other than the
3. 55% of Israeli Jews define Judea & Samaria as “
4. 57% of Israeli Jews do not accept the “Green Line” as
5. 49%:43% oppose an agreement, which entails painful concessions - a code name for substantial withdrawals.
6. 47%:40% of Israeli Jews consider the 1993 Oslo Accord a mistake.
7. 75% of Israeli Jews don’t believe that negotiation would lead to an agreement with the Palestinians. 75% believe that even if an agreement would be concluded, the Palestinians would not consider it an end to their conflict with
8. Most Israeli Jews oppose the tangible – potentially lethal - consequences of the “Two State Solution.” Their soft & reluctant support of the “Two State Solution” has been based on unfounded demographic fatalism. It has benefited from the absence of a systematic, full scale educational media campaign, highlighting historical, security and demographic aspects of Judea & Samaria mountain ridges (the “Golan Heights” of Jerusalem, Tel Aviv and the 9-
The American-Israel Demographic Research Group (AIDRG)
Key Findings
April 2008
Western taxpayers have provided, since
I. AIDRG documents a 1.1MN (46%) inflation in the official number of Palestinians in Gaza, Judea & Samaria (2.7MN and not 3.8MN) and a 53% inflation in the official number of Palestinians in Judea & Samaria alone (1.5MN and not 2.3MN). The Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) includes in its census some 400,000 overseas residents, 200,000 Israeli (
II. A long-term 67% Jewish majority on 98.5% of the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean (without
III. Arab fertility rate (within the “Green Line”) has declined 20 year faster than conventionally projected – due to modernity and integration - while Jewish fertility rate is rising.
IV. A 40% rise in annual Jewish births (from 80,400 to 112,000) and a stagnation of annual Arab births (39,000) in the “Green Line” during 1995-2007. Arab-Jewish gap of fertility (number of children per woman) reduced from
V. Arab-Jewish fertility rates have converged in
VI. Net annual emigration of over 10,000 has characterized Judea & Samaria (mostly) and Gaza Arabs since 1950:
VII. The Jewish State has benefited from annual Aliya (immigration) since 1882. Repeatedly, since 1948,
VIII. Secular Olim (immigrants) from the former
X. There is a demographic problem, but it is not lethal, and the demographic trend is Jewish and not Arab. The demographic momentum is shifting from the Arab to the Jewish sector. Demography constitutes a strategic asset, not a liability, for the Jewish State.
And what if a constitution is passed which protects Israel as a Jewish state and new citizenship rules are passed which require a loyalty test and knowledge of Hebrew and National service.
This suggests they will strongly support annexation of Judea and Samaria rather than painful concessions.